PGC’s latest report (21001-13z.pdf
) places the 2014 deer population in 2G/2H *below* the previous year, and yet PGC is still unwilling to say it in so many words.
Originally Posted by PGC report 21001-13z.pdf
“No WMUs showed a decreasing [deer] population trend.”
But that nuance aside, Rosenberry & Co. claim the 2G/2H deer herd today is both LARGER than it was during Herd Reduction, and at the same time producing nearly HALF the number of buck as back then (6,500 buck
killed today vs. 10,110 buck
back in year 2003).
How can this be possible?
The buck harvest has always been touted as the strongest indicator of population size, right? The current buck harvest would suggest the population in 2G/2H today is roughly HALF what it was in 2003
, right? A decreased herd size assessment such as this would agree with the decreased sightings in NC camps that many hunters are relaying today, and would place the 2G/2H deer herd at an over-winter density somewhere around 10 dpfsm. In other words, well below the density it was during Herd Reduction, which would seem logical to many, right?
So why doesn’t PGC just come out and say this?
How can there be MORE deer today than during HR??? Can anyone explain the current estimates produced by PGC? Seriously…
On the other hand, if the 2G/2H herd really is LARGER today than prior to HR like PGC says, the next logical question is what then is happening to all the extra fawns that should be being produced by the larger herd and improved habitat of today? Are the fawns being killed by predators? Are they dying of old age? What is going on with these estimates? Help me out here…
NOTE: For anyone who has not been following along, over the course of the last 10 years or so, PGC has made 3 different attempts at estimating the deer population in 2G/2H.
PURPLE line was their 1st attempt
LIGHT BLUE their 2nd attempt
GREEN is their 3rd and most recent attempt