Pretty good odds if youíre a resident.
Not as much as you might think. There have been people who entered every year since the season opened (1980) and died 20 or 30 years later without ever getting a permit. More than a few people. Compounding that, there were lucky people who had gotten several permits in the same time frame. This was a real sore spot.
That led to a change in the law several years ago. Originally, the change said that if a resident person had maxed out on points (28 is max, IIRC) and was 70 or older by the opening day of moose season, they were guaranteed a permit.
Once the IFW cleared off that backlog they dropped the age to 65 and maxed out on points, which is where it stands now.
If one goes across the names every year there will be several with the same last name and town. It does happen
that 2 (or more) people in the same household will draw a tag in the same year. Part of that is parents and children entering and getting lucky. Part of that is the practice of non-hunting spouses being entered, then having to take a hunter safety course in the summer so they can get a license and go along on the hunt and let their hunting spouse (a subpermittee) do the killing for them. This may seem a little unfair but for a lot of people, especially up north and Down East, this is subsistence hunting. Getting a moose means they can have meat on the table. One can feed the stereotypical family of 4 for over a year on one average moose.